Invictus Tariff and Trade War Recession Scenario
The Invictus Tariff and Trade War Recession 2.0 scenario (updated August 19, 2025) is intended to reflect (but not predict) a tail-risk outcome for the U.S. economy, driven by...
During our recent COVID-19 stress testing webinar, I discussed how one of the primary goals of stress testing is to rank your loans based on their capital at risk as measured by the stress test. Community banks can then use these lists to focus their precious credit resources (people and time) to do a deep dive on those loans and start to prepare workout strategies. The earlier you start this planning process, the more options you will have to help the borrower and limit loan losses.
Many community banks have been laser-focused on working with borrowers to provide modifications on existing loans and PPP loans. So now what?
Plante Moran, a highly reputable accounting firm with deep expertise in financial services, has provided an excellent roadmap in Brave New World: Credit Quality During COVID-19. I strongly recommend that bankers read this article to learn more about what actions they should be taking with individual borrowers, which in addition to stress testing, include getting updated financial statements, tax returns, and collateral data.
CECL Trends, CECL, community bank regulations, community banks, CECL Modeling, acl challenges, bank regulatory compliance, advanced cecl
Now that most community banks have eight to ten quarters of CECL experience under their belts, many are still grappling with foundational issues such as overreliance on qualitative factors, lack of responsiveness to risk rating...
capital planning, community bank regulations, Deregulation, bank strategy, community banks, regulatory capital, bank growth strategy, cre risk
Author : Adam Mustafa, CEO, Invictus Analytics
Community banks now have the clearest path in nearly two decades to reshape their regulatory capital requirements—and they shouldn't miss it. While most recent efforts to ease...