Invictus Tariff and Trade War Recession Scenario
The Invictus Tariff and Trade War Recession 2.0 scenario (updated August 19, 2025) is intended to reflect (but not predict) a tail-risk outcome for the U.S. economy, driven by...
No one has a crystal ball that can predict when and how the economic fallout from the coronavirus will end. But community banks need a way to understand how their capital will fare as conditions change – and which loans they need to watch.
In a new ElevateTalks podcast called How Pandemic Stress Testing Can Position your Bank for Success, Invictus CEO Adam Mustafa explains how pandemic stress testing can give banks the crucial insights they need in these uncertain times. The 35-minute session, hosted by Elevate President Michael Delucchi, covers why it is essential for banks to know their margin of safety, how to use stress testing to calculate a bank’s ALLL, why banks should segment their most at-risk loans, and more.
This episode is essential listening for bank CEOs, CCOs and CFOs who want to guide their banks through the pandemic and beyond. The beauty of the proper stress testing, Mustafa explains, is it not only helps banks now as the crisis unfolds, but also positions them to take advantage of opportunities when the crisis is over.
CECL Trends, CECL, community bank regulations, community banks, CECL Modeling, acl challenges, bank regulatory compliance, advanced cecl
Now that most community banks have eight to ten quarters of CECL experience under their belts, many are still grappling with foundational issues such as overreliance on qualitative factors, lack of responsiveness to risk rating...
capital planning, community bank regulations, Deregulation, bank strategy, community banks, regulatory capital, bank growth strategy, cre risk
Author : Adam Mustafa, CEO, Invictus Analytics
Community banks now have the clearest path in nearly two decades to reshape their regulatory capital requirements—and they shouldn't miss it. While most recent efforts to ease...